DoorDash (NASDAQ:DASH) reported mixed results for the fiscal first quarter, sending its shares tumbling 13% in premarket trading Thursday.
The delivery firm posted Q1 loss per share of $0.06, wider than the consensus estimate of $0.03. However, the company outperformed on revenue fronts, posting $2.51 billion against a consensus estimate of $2.45 billion.
Looking ahead to Q2, DoorDash projects its Marketplace Gross Order Value (GOV) to range between $19.0 billion and $19.4 billion.
The company also forecasts an Adjusted EBITDA between $325 million and $425 million.
For the full year 2024, DoorDash anticipates stock-based compensation to be between $1.1 billion and $1.2 billion.
It also expects to issue between 6.0 million and 7.0 million restricted stock units (RSUs), adjusted for expected forfeitures.
In addition, depreciation and amortization expenses are estimated to fall between $560 million and $590 million, assuming the stock price remains aligned with recent trading levels.
Despite mixed results, analysts at Goldman Sachs remained somewhat optimistic about DASH’s future prospects.
“Unless a marked macro slowdown plays out in the coming quarters, we continue to believe the broader landscape for a platform (such as DASH) to widen its value proposition into local commerce presents tailwinds to growth,” analysts wrote.
Short-term, analysts at Goldman Sachs anticipate that investor discussions will concentrate on the balance between Gross Order Value (GOV) growth and adjusted EBITDA margin progression over the next 6-12 months.
But for the long run, they view DASH as a dominant marketplace spanning multiple product categories, with increasing market share and global scale “which should continue to compound profits in the coming years,” they wrote, reiterating a Neutral rating on the stock and lifting the target price from $122 to $131.
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Meanwhile, analysts at Mizuho said that robust GOV execution above consensus forecasts is a positive indicator for DASH’s second half of 2024, as it gains scale and improves operating leverage.
This confidence is bolstered by the company’s proven track record of EBITDA increases in fiscal years 2022 and 2023, supporting expectations for a similar upward trajectory in the latter half of this year.
