Home Editor's Picks US stocks mixed after core inflation picks up pace to cool bets on larger Fed cut

US stocks mixed after core inflation picks up pace to cool bets on larger Fed cut

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Investing.com — US stocks were mixed Wednesday as gains in tech were offset by falling bets on a jumbo-sized Federal Reserve interest rate cut next week after data showed core inflation ticked higher last month.

By 12:56 p.m ET (1656 GMT), the benchmark S&P 500 fell 0.4%, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 0.3%, and the 30-stock Dow Jones Industrial Average had slumped by 265 points or 0.7%.

Inflation reading dents 50-basis point Fed cut bets

Headline US consumer prices rose by 0.2% on a monthly basis in August, matching July’s rate, but the core figure accelerated slightly, potentially denting the chances that the Federal Reserve will introduce a more aggressive cut to interest rates at its upcoming policy gathering.

The month-on-month headline US consumer price index met economists’ expectations, along with the annual figure, which slowed to 2.5% from 2.9% in July.

Meanwhile, core consumer prices, which strip out more volatile items like food and fuel, edged up by 0.3% month-on-month, faster than estimates of 0.2%. Year-over-year, the reading came in at 3.2%, in line with forecasts and equaling July’s pace.

“The August CPI data muddies the waters a little bit on trying to assess the persistence of the current disinflationary trend,” Jefferies said, maintaining its forecast for a 25 bps at the September meeting.

The odds of a 50 basis point cut fell to 16% from 34% a day earlier, with the market now pricing in an 84% change of a 25bps cut at the September meeting, up from 66%. 

Trump-Harris debate offers few policy details

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump and Democratic rival Kamala Harris exchanged barbs in a fiery debate on Tuesday, clashing on everything from immigration to the economy.

On the debate stage, Harris took aim at Trump’s policy of imposing high tariffs on foreign goods, arguing that it would effectively be a tax on the middle class. Trump defended the plan, saying it would not lead to higher prices for Americans, and attacked Harris for overseeing a period of elevated inflation during the Biden administration’s term.

However, analysts at TD Cowen argued that this was “not a debate about the economy.”

“We did not have substantive discussions of the key economic issues including if the White House should play a role in setting interest rates or how tariffs may impact inflation and economic growth,” the analysts said in a note to clients.

Bets favored Harris in the immediate wake of the debate, with the current Vice President’s odds of winning the ballot increasing to 56% from 53% before the event, according to data from online prediction market PredictIt cited by Reuters.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp (NASDAQ:DJT) fell more than 13% in the aftermath of the debate.

Bank of America falls on more Buffett sales, GME falls on revenue slump

Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC) fell 2% after Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRKa) sold more shares of the bank, cutting his stake to 11%.

GameStop Corp (NYSE:GME) fell more than 14% after video game retailer reported quarterly results that showed 31% slump in revenue.

(Scott Kanowsky, Ambar Warrick contributed to this report.)

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